To the moon: defining and detecting cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps Full Text

As a rule of thumb, if the price is above the 200 MA, the trend is up; if it’s below, the trend is down. I am not a Technical Analysis guy, but those technical Indicators are beneficial and not so hard to understand. If the Total Market Cap of the whole market is growing and Bitcoin Dominance is going down, we are likely in an Altseason and a Bull Market, and so on. Cointelegraph covers fintech, blockchain and Bitcoin bringing you the latest news and analyses on the future of money.

crypto indicators

In this context, a period represents a unit of time-based on the chart’s observed timeframe. Moving averages are calculated from an asset’s past prices for a certain period of time. The most-used timeframes are 50-day, 100-day and 200-day, though moving averages can also be calculated in weeks. An increasing OBV means more buyers are willing to purchase the asset at the trading price, and it’s a good indicator of price momentum picking up. A decreasing OBV means selling pressure is high, and it is often seen near the all-time highs, giving traders the chance to sell to make profits. This usually marks a bearish sentiment getting started in the market.

Consolidation Trends

💡 A standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean. Bollinger Bands measure the volatility of the markets and also if the market is overbought and oversold. For example, if the price chart shows higher highs, but the MACD shows lower highs, there is a higher probability that the markets could start going down soon.

  • The stochastic oscillator is a handy leading indicator used to determine the strength of the momentum of a given trend.
  • With this set of timeframes, traders can identify the general direction of the crypto asset based on the chosen data set over time.
  • Technical analysis is also relevant in the crypto market, and the same principles apply.
  • In the next section, I will introduce you to five of the best indicators for crypto trading.
  • The MYC indicator is a private indicator that merges trend analysis and momentum oscillators to accurately ascertain when a cryptocurrency will set foot into a bearish or bullish trend.

You can draw trendlines across RSI to spot areas ripe for reversal. The core problem with MACD is that the indicator can sometimes imply a reversal without one happening. To make matters worse, a reversal can occur without the MACD spotting it.

If I want to invest in a more significant amount, I might even do fundamental analysis and publish a full Crypto Review like with . I have a look at the Usecases, the Team & Investors, Tokenomics, possible demand drivers, active community, and whatever else comes to seem to be relevant. I started with HODLing, which is not a bad strategy, but I also make mistakes, of course. You are just picking, buying, and holding your coins over a more extended period. The main mistake you can make with that strategy is to choose the wrong coins, e.g., shit coins are not great for holding. They usually pump once and you have a short time window to cash out or in most cases, you will use 95% of your Investment.

How to Use the ADX Indicator

Example of a golden cross.The slope of an MA indicates the asset’s momentum. Sharp angles show that market forces push the asset up or down. We can use xm forex broker features and trading information the line of an MA to determine trends by observing the line’s slope. Whenever an asset’s RSI is between 30 and 70, the RSI is considered to be neutral.

An asset is considered to be oversold when it moves below the 30-range area. If the value goes above 70, the chart enters the overbought region. In some cases, such as during sustained trends, the indicator relaxes in the overbought or oversold territory for long periods. Although indicators beginners guide to forex trading should point you to where the market is headed, it is important to mention that they do not predict the prices of Bitcoin or other crypto assets in absolute certainty. The overall goal is to help you identify trading opportunities in order to maximise profit while minimising loss.

The example above shows a golden cross that occurred after the 200-day MA crossed the 50-day MA. Bitcoin went on to increase from $30,000 to $52,000 a month after the cross occurred. When multiple MAs come into contact, the result is a crossover. We refer to positive crosses as a Golden Cross and negative crosses as a Death Cross.

crypto indicators

Simply put, it can be said that the models used in technical analysis assume that the price of assets moves according to repetitive patterns. The MACD and the RSI are valuable tools with which technical traders can analyze an asset’s price charts, looking for patterns indicating when to buy or sell the crypto. A Bollinger Band® is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that depicts two standard deviations above and below a simple moving average. In an uptrend, prices will rise until they reach a level where demand no longer outpaces supply.

Shrimpy helps thousands of crypto investors manage their entire portfolio in one place. Some of the best exit indicators include the Relative Strength Index and the Moving Average Indicator. Now, let’s take a look at how the MACD indicator can be applied to your strategy. This script has been Inspired by PlanB Article Quant Investing 101. With this script, I implemented Plan B strategy outlined in that article, trying to reproduce his findings independently and allowing TradeView Users to do the same. PlabB is aware of this effort, and he’s positive about it, via Twitter commenting, liking and sharing of this resource .

Therefore, the EMA trendline is suitable for quick crypto trading decisions. This makes it a perfect tool for a day trader to analyse the market to get a more reliable and accurate trend. In traditional markets, traders can reasonably rely on technical analysis tools, such as the ones highlighted here, to forecast an asset’s future price movement based on past market data.

Build your own strategy

Traders can continue to learn and comprehend the various applications of additional technical analysis tools as they get more experience. The tool allows you to analyze market movements and make trades on major crypto exchanges. The features available on Coinigy help investors to understand market sentiment. It’s a cloud-based platform, as well as data from other cryptocurrency exchanges. Bollinger Bands are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average and plotted on price. With the recent boom in the crypto industry, many are exploring ways to earn from cryptocurrencies.

There is more supply than demand, creating a ceiling over prices. Successful tests of these levels often mean that traders are now more comfortable shorting the security. Sometimes, however, prices will break through resistance and continue higher. When this happens, prices will continue rising until they find a new level of resistance.


Supervised anomaly detection relies on a training data set to learn what “normal” is for the domain. The latter hinges on the ability to acquire an adequately sized training set, something which is often challenging. Conversely, unsupervised techniques rely on the assumption that anomalies are a rare occurrence in the data to prevent an excess of false signals. Here, it is the researcher’s or analyst’s task to determine the parameters that constitute an anomaly.

  • Therefore, the EMA trendline is suitable for quick crypto trading decisions.
  • Once again, the warning signals of corresponding price and volume spikes are present, and the system correctly marks the strange activity at the announced starting time as fraudulent.
  • Resistance indicates people think the cryptocurrency is overpriced.
  • All overbought signals were followed by short-term price falls — and “oversold” signals.
  • If you seek accuracy, I recommend combining indicators, price data, and market models to find confluence.

The RSI is a momentum indicator developed by a technical analyst, Welles Wilder, in 1978. Using a complicated formula, it can measure the movement in a price change and the speed and magnitude of change in price by evaluating the oversold and overbought conditions. This energy is released when the chart breaks one of the two end curves . A break of the upper curve is a buy signal, while a bottom-line break is a selling indicator. After this momentum, the following market movement will develop near the broken line.

Exponential Moving Averages

The stochastic oscillator is a handy leading indicator used to determine the strength of the momentum of a given trend. It compares the asset’s closing price with its high-low range over a certain period. Even better, the SO functions well regardless of volatility, even in the fast-moving cryptocurrency market. The EMA indicator gives a smoother price action than the SMA over a short period by removing short-time price fluctuations and reducing lag. Priority is given to data within the time frame being considered.

Thus, a desirable area for future research would be to create of a database of confirmed pumps. Such a database could be used as a means of testing the accuracy of a detection algorithm, as well as allowing for the use of supervised machine learning methods. Pump-and-dump destek market schemes are fraudulent price manipulations through the spread of misinformation and have been around in economic settings since at least the 1700s. With new technologies around cryptocurrency trading, the problem has intensified to a shorter time scale and broader scope.

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